Austin

Circuit of the Americas, USA · lights out 2026-10-25 20:00 UTC

Weekend

FP110-23

FP210-23

FP310-24

Q10-24

RACE10-25

Next session–

Pit-lane loss20.98 s

Watch the race through the data

Explore Singapore’s track map, driver inputs and race replay with F1vis. Historical playback, alongside the race forecast.

before qualifying

25%

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Mercedes · to win

Grid not set yet 28°C Rain 13% Updated 7 h ago

if today's form holdsStandings →

20,000 simulated races from the model

Model Market

#	Driver	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 10	Avg. finish
1	ANT Mercedes	–	25%	48%	89%	5.3
2	VER Red Bull	–	23%	44%	83%	6.3
3	HAM Ferrari	–	10%	29%	77%	7.6
4	RUS Mercedes	–	10%	28%	74%	8.1
5	LEC Ferrari	–	10%	28%	76%	7.8
6	NOR McLaren	–	8%	25%	72%	8.5
7	PIA McLaren	–	4%	18%	67%	9.0
8	HAD Red Bull	–	4%	17%	67%	9.0
9	LAW RB F1 Team	–	1%	10%	54%	10.3
10	GAS Alpine F1 Team	–	<1%	8%	46%	11.4
11	LIN RB F1 Team	–	<1%	9%	48%	10.9
12	HUL Audi	–	<1%	6%	38%	12.1
13	COL Alpine F1 Team	–	<1%	5%	31%	13.3
14	BEA Haas F1 Team	–	<1%	5%	31%	13.0
15	BOR Audi	–	<1%	4%	27%	13.5
16	OCO Haas F1 Team	–	<1%	4%	29%	13.0
17	SAI Williams	–	<1%	4%	26%	13.7
18	ALO Aston Martin	–	<1%	3%	20%	14.6
19	PER Cadillac F1 Team	–	<1%	2%	15%	15.4
20	ALB Williams	–	<1%	2%	11%	16.4
21	STR Aston Martin	–	<1%	1%	9%	16.9
22	BOT Cadillac F1 Team	–	<1%	<1%	8%	17.0

"Why" lists the signals that moved each driver most relative to this field. Market = Kalshi mid-price, normalised: a benchmark, never an input.

What if…

Chance of rain during the race

Change a grid slot to move a driver (after-qualifying stage). Odds recompute in your browser from the same coefficients.

56%winner picked, 108 races since 2022

57%pole-sitter baseline

43%avg. odds on the actual winner (grid 36%)

1.133log-loss, grid 1.477 (lower is better)