NFL / THE COMPLETE PICTURE
Scores, team form and availability. Understand the matchup before kickoff, and follow it as it unfolds.
THE SCHEDULE
Dates grouped in Eastern Time. Start times shown in your local timezone. Publisher updates can lag the action. Forecasts are frozen before start.
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BEYOND THE SCORE
Recent decisive regular-season results, with publisher standings and availability reports. Missing reports mean unknown availability.
SHOW THE WORK
An experimental estimate of winning a decisive regular-season game, including overtime or extra innings. NFL ties are excluded, so this is conditional on a decisive result.
Ratings start at 1500 and change after completed results. Stronger opponents matter more. A fixed home advantage is included, except at neutral venues. Ratings regress toward 1500 between seasons.
Rest is elapsed days since the last observed completed team game or UFC bout, including recent postseason games. It is not measured sleep, recovery or jet lag. Recent form and current ratings provide context, not guarantees.
Injuries, starting lineups, pitcher quality, weather and travel are not numerical model inputs. Postseason games have no baseline forecast.